Penn State
W-L: (14-38) PR = 91.7132Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 3-15 214 A Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 9- 3 215 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 5-24 220 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 5-12 221 A Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 0- 3 221 A Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 3- 4 227 H Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 5- 8 228 A Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 1- 2 301 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 9-15 304 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 12- 9 306 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 7- 9 307 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 6-21 308 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 4-14 310 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 2- 8 311 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 4- 5 313 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 11- 6 314 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 4-13 315 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 4-12 320 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 7-12 321 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 1-10 322 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 14- 9 324 H St. Bonaventure A10 ( 1- 6, 87.4) 8- 6 325 H Bucknell PAT ( 4- 6, 90.3) 0- 9 327 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 9- 8 328 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 5-16 329 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 0- 6 403 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 10-17 404 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 7- 8 404 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 1-13 405 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 6- 8 407 H Fairleigh Dickinson NE ( 3- 9, 88.7) 11- 5 410 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 10- 5 411 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 2- 3 412 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 10-15 415 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 1- 3 417 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 11-13 418 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 1- 4 419 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 14-13 421 H Bucknell PAT ( 4- 6, 90.3) 9- 7 424 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 4- 5 425 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 4- 5 426 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 0- 5 502 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 4- 5 502 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 3- 5 503 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 4- 3 508 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 4- 5 508 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 6- 4 509 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 4- 0 512 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 7-11 514 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 13- 4 515 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 2- 6 516 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 4- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Air Force 3-15 -12 -3 --- -9.49
214 A Grand Canyon 9- 3 6 -2 +++ 8.05
215 H Kansas State 5-24 -19 -4 --- -9.77
220 H Western Kentucky 5-12 -7 -2 -- -5.04
221 A Richmond 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.21
221 A Richmond 3- 4 -1 0 -1.21
227 H Indiana State 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.08
228 A Indiana State 1- 2 -1 -1 0.28
301 A Cal State Bakersfield 9-15 -6 -2 -- -4.15
304 A Wake Forest 12- 9 3 -6 +++ 9.23
306 H South Alabama 7- 9 -2 -3 0.81
307 A Texas Tech 6-21 -15 -5 --- -9.24
308 A Texas Tech 4-14 -10 -5 -- -5.24
310 A Georgetown 2- 8 -6 0 -- -5.92
311 A Georgetown 4- 5 -1 0 -0.92
313 H Iowa 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.44
314 H Iowa 4-13 -9 -3 -- -5.56
315 H Iowa 4-12 -8 -3 -- -4.56
320 A Purdue 7-12 -5 -5 0.31
321 H Coastal Carolina 1-10 -9 -3 -- -5.91
322 A Purdue 14- 9 5 -5 +++ 10.31
324 H St. Bonaventure 8- 6 2 5 - -3.02
325 H Bucknell 0- 9 -9 2 --- -11.07
327 H Illinois 9- 8 1 -3 + 3.76
328 H Illinois 5-16 -11 -3 --- -8.24
329 H Illinois 0- 6 -6 -3 - -3.24
403 A Bellarmine 10-17 -7 0 --- -6.88
404 A Nebraska 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.00
404 A Nebraska 1-13 -12 -6 -- -6.00
405 A Nebraska 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.00
407 H Fairleigh Dickinson 11- 5 6 4 + 2.35
410 H Seattle U 10- 5 5 2 + 3.34
411 A Ohio State 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.99
412 A Ohio State 10-15 -5 -4 -1.01
415 A West Virginia 1- 3 -2 -7 ++ 5.11
417 H Rutgers 11-13 -2 -2 -0.50
418 H Rutgers 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.50
419 H Rutgers 14-13 1 -2 + 2.50
421 H Bucknell 9- 7 2 2 -0.07
424 A Oregon 4- 5 -1 -6 ++ 5.08
425 A Oregon 4- 5 -1 -6 ++ 5.08
426 A Oregon 0- 5 -5 -6 1.08
502 H Minnesota 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.95
502 H Minnesota 3- 5 -2 -5 + 2.95
503 H Minnesota 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.95
508 H Washington 4- 5 -1 -1 0.49
508 H Washington 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.49
509 H Washington 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 5.49
512 A Pittsburgh 7-11 -4 -5 1.33
514 H Charlotte 13- 4 9 -2 +++ 10.72
515 H Minnesota 2- 6 -4 -5 0.95
516 A Maryland 4- 6 -2 -4 1.75
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Air Force 3-15 -12 -3 --- -9.49 215 H Kansas State 5-24 -19 -4 --- -9.77 307 A Texas Tech 6-21 -15 -5 --- -9.24 325 H Bucknell 0- 9 -9 2 --- -11.07 328 H Illinois 5-16 -11 -3 --- -8.24 403 A Bellarmine 10-17 -7 0 --- -6.88 220 H Western Kentucky 5-12 -7 -2 -- -5.04 301 A Cal State Bakersfield 9-15 -6 -2 -- -4.15 308 A Texas Tech 4-14 -10 -5 -- -5.24 310 A Georgetown 2- 8 -6 0 -- -5.92 314 H Iowa 4-13 -9 -3 -- -5.56 315 H Iowa 4-12 -8 -3 -- -4.56 321 H Coastal Carolina 1-10 -9 -3 -- -5.91 404 A Nebraska 1-13 -12 -6 -- -6.00 221 A Richmond 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.21 227 H Indiana State 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.08 324 H St. Bonaventure 8- 6 2 5 - -3.02 329 H Illinois 0- 6 -6 -3 - -3.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Grand Canyon 9- 3 6 -2 +++ 8.05 304 A Wake Forest 12- 9 3 -6 +++ 9.23 313 H Iowa 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.44 322 A Purdue 14- 9 5 -5 +++ 10.31 514 H Charlotte 13- 4 9 -2 +++ 10.72 404 A Nebraska 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.00 405 A Nebraska 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.00 415 A West Virginia 1- 3 -2 -7 ++ 5.11 424 A Oregon 4- 5 -1 -6 ++ 5.08 425 A Oregon 4- 5 -1 -6 ++ 5.08 503 H Minnesota 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.95 509 H Washington 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 5.49 327 H Illinois 9- 8 1 -3 + 3.76 407 H Fairleigh Dickinson 11- 5 6 4 + 2.35 410 H Seattle U 10- 5 5 2 + 3.34 411 A Ohio State 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.99 419 H Rutgers 14-13 1 -2 + 2.50 502 H Minnesota 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.95 502 H Minnesota 3- 5 -2 -5 + 2.95 508 H Washington 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.49 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Air Force ( 5-13, 94.9) 3-15 -5.00 13.42 -0.68 0.56 -1.58
3 A Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 9- 3 -6.81 11.62 0.68 0.56 13.67
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 5-24 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.56 -1.10
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 5-12 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.56 -1.73
3 A Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 0- 3 -9.07 9.35 0.68 0.56 -2.34
3 A Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 3- 4 -9.07 9.35 0.68 0.56 -2.34
3 H Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 5- 8 -7.59 10.84 -0.68 0.56 -2.30
3 A Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 1- 2 -7.59 10.84 0.68 0.56 -1.92
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 9-15 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.56 -1.76
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 12- 9 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.56 18.32
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 7- 9 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.56 -1.50
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 6-21 -4.11 14.32 0.68 0.56 -0.95
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 4-14 -4.11 14.32 0.68 0.56 -0.95
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 2- 8 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.56 -2.25
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 4- 5 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.56 -2.25
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 11- 6 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.56 15.22
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 4-13 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.56 -1.32
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 4-12 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.56 -1.32
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 7-12 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.56 -0.80
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 1-10 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.56 -1.42
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 14- 9 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.56 17.29
3 H St. Bonaventur ( 1- 6, 87.4) 8- 6 -12.53 5.90 -0.68 0.56 5.81
3 H Bucknell ( 4- 6, 90.3) 0- 9 -9.58 8.84 -0.68 0.56 -2.85
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 9- 8 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.56 14.46
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 5-16 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.56 -1.51
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 0- 6 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.56 -1.51
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 10-17 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.56 -2.24
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 7- 8 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.56 -0.61
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 1-13 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.56 -0.61
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 6- 8 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.56 -0.61
3 H Fairleigh Dick ( 3- 9, 88.7) 11- 5 -11.16 7.27 -0.68 0.56 7.33
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 10- 5 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.56 9.55
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 2- 3 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.56 -1.17
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 10-15 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.56 -1.17
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 1- 3 -1.75 16.68 0.68 0.56 -0.30
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 11-13 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.56 -1.86
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 1- 4 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.56 -1.86
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 14-13 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.56 13.06
3 H Bucknell ( 4- 6, 90.3) 9- 7 -9.58 8.84 -0.68 0.56 9.09
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 4- 5 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.56 -0.58
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 4- 5 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.56 -0.58
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 0- 5 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.56 -0.58
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 4- 5 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.56 -0.90
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 3- 5 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.56 -0.90
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 4- 3 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.56 16.89
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 4- 5 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.56 -1.86
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 6- 4 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.56 13.04
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 4- 0 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.56 13.04
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 7-11 -3.53 14.89 0.68 0.56 -0.79
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 13- 4 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.56 13.31
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 2- 6 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.56 -0.90
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 4- 6 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.56 -1.23
------
127.63
|
winning pts = 180.0893 losing points = -52.4599
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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